📅 Friday, 27th February 2026

France Ligue 1

Full Time Result
1:1
Won
⚽
Strasbourg
Best Bet
Yellow Card Over 2.5
@1.28
⚽
Lens
Win Probability
Yellow Card Over 2.5 80%
80%
Probability of Yellow Card Over 2.5 Occurring
Last 5 Fixtures
⚽ Strasbourg
Feb 22, 2026: Strasbourg
3-1
Lyon (Ligue 1)
Feb 14, 2026: Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Feb 8, 2026: Le Havre
2-1
Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Feb 5, 2026: Strasbourg
3-1
Monaco (Coupe de France)
Feb 1, 2026: Strasbourg
1-2
PSG (Ligue 1)
⚽ Lens
Feb 21, 2026: Lens
2-3
Monaco (Ligue 1)
Feb 14, 2026: Paris FC
0-5
Lens (Ligue 1)
Feb 7, 2026: Lens
3-1
Rennes (Ligue 1)
Feb 4, 2026: Troyes
2-4
Lens (Coupe de France)
Jan 30, 2026: Lens
1-0
Le Havre (Ligue 1)
Home
W
D
L
W
L
Away
L
W
W
W
W
Current Form
Strasbourg
40%Form
2W
1D
2L
Lens
80%Form
4W
0D
1L
📊 Head To Head
Strasbourg — 1 W 1 Draw 3 W — Lens
20%
20%
60%
Nov 22, 2025: Lens
1-0
Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Feb 16, 2025: Lens
0-2
Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Oct 6, 2024: Strasbourg
2-2
Lens (Ligue 1)
Feb 10, 2024: Lens
3-1
Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
Sep 29, 2023: Strasbourg
0-1
Lens (Ligue 1)
📝 Analysis
  • Lens Disciplinary Record: Lens has received 17 yellow cards in their last 10 league matches, averaging 1.7 cards per game. In their recent high-stakes clash against Monaco, they picked up multiple bookings, indicating an increased tension in competitive matches.
  • Strasbourg Disciplinary Record: Strasbourg has picked up 19 yellow cards in their last 10 league matches, averaging 1.9 cards per game. They tend to be aggressive when away, which is crucial for this matchup.
  • Head-to-Head and Trends: The previous meeting on Nov 22, 2025, saw a total of 5 yellow cards and 1 red card, comfortably exceeding the 2.5 threshold. Furthermore, the average total cards per match in Ligue 1 for the 2025-26 season is approximately 3.89, suggesting a high likelihood of a card-heavy game.
  • Verdict: Over 2.5 Yellow Cards is a very strong probability, given both teams’ recent disciplinary trends and the aggressive nature of their head-to-head encounters.
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