Portsmouth vs Derby County: Match Analysis (Home Team to Score)
As Portsmouth prepares to host Derby County at Fratton Park on March 16, 2026, all eyes are on whether the home side can find the back of the net in this high-stakes Championship clash. With Portsmouth fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, their offensive efficiency at home is crucial.
Home Scoring Analysis: Portsmouth
Despite a difficult run of results, Portsmouth’s ability to score at Fratton Park remains a key factor in their survival bid. This season, “Pompey” has managed to find the net in the majority of their home outings, led by the creative efforts of Adrian Segečić and the physical presence of Colby Bishop. While they recently suffered a narrow 1–2 loss to Swansea, the underlying data shows they consistently generate high-quality chances at home, averaging nearly 1.00 goals per game across the campaign.
Historically, Portsmouth has a strong record of scoring against Derby when playing on the south coast. In their last two home meetings (April 2024 and April 2025), Portsmouth scored exactly two goals in each match. With Derby County conceding 48 goals so far this season (averaging 1.30 per game), there is a significant statistical opening for the home side to get on the scoresheet once again.
Key Factors for a Home Goal
Target Man: Colby Bishop remains a constant threat from set-pieces and crosses, which have been a point of vulnerability for the Derby defense recently.
Derby’s Away Record: Derby has struggled for clean sheets on the road, conceding four goals in a single trip to Hull City in late February.
Historical Trend: In 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between these two clubs, Portsmouth has successfully found the back of the net.
What was the result of the last match between these two? [December 20, 2025]: [1]–[1] [Portsmouth] ([Championship]).
Where and when is the match being played? The match takes place at Fratton Park on Monday, March 16, 2026.
Who is Portsmouth’s top scorer this season? Adrian Segečić currently leads the scoring charts for Pompey with 6 goals in the Championship.
Does Portsmouth usually score against Derby at home? Yes. Portsmouth has scored at least one goal in 80% of their last five home matches against the Rams.