📅 Friday, 6th March 2026

Spanish La Liga

Full Time Result
1:2
Won
⚽
Celta Vigo
Best Bet
Home To Score
@1.35
⚽
Real Madrid
Win Probability
40%
10%
50%
🏠 Celta Vigo  40% ⚖️ Draw  10% Real Madrid ✈️  50%
Last 5 Fixtures
⚽ Celta Vigo
March 01, 2026: Girona
1-2
Celta Vigo (La Liga)
February 26, 2026: Celta Vigo
1-0
PAOK Thessaloniki FC (UEFA Europa League)
February 22, 2026: Celta Vigo
2-0
Mallorca (La Liga)
February 19, 2026: PAOK Thessaloniki FC
1-2
Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League)
February 14, 2026: Espanyol
2-2
Celta Vigo (La Liga)
⚽ Real Madrid
March 02, 2026: Real Madrid
0-1
Getafe (La Liga)
February 25, 2026: Real Madrid
2-1
Benfica (UEFA Champions League)
February 21, 2026: Osasuna
2-1
Real Madrid (La Liga)
February 17, 2026: Benfica
0-1
Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League)
February 14, 2026: Real Madrid
4-1
Real Sociedad (La Liga)
Home
W
W
W
W
D
Away
L
W
L
W
W
Current Form
Celta Vigo
80%Form
4W
1D
0L
Real Madrid
60%Form
3W
0D
2L
📊 Head To Head
Celta Vigo — 1 W 0 Draw 4 W — Real Madrid
20%
80%
December 07, 2025: Real Madrid
0-2
Celta Vigo (La Liga)
May 04, 2025: Real Madrid
3-2
Celta Vigo (La Liga)
January 16, 2025: Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo (Copa del Rey)
October 19, 2024: Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid (La Liga)
March 10, 2024: Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo (La Liga)
📝 Analysis
  • Celta Vigo vs. Real Madrid: Home Team Scoring Analysis
  • While Real Madrid is historically dominant, the current landscape of March 2026 paints a very different picture. Celta Vigo enters this fixture in sensational form, while the visitors are navigating a full-blown defensive and personnel crisis.
  • Key Performance Indicators (Home Team to Score)
  • Celta’s Scoring Reliability: Celta Vigo is currently one of the most consistent offensive units in Spain. They have scored in 18 consecutive home matches in La Liga. Under Claudio Giráldez, they have averaged 1.8 goals per game over their last five outings, proving they can breach even the most disciplined setups.
  • The Return of the “Panda”: Celta receives a massive boost as top scorer Borja Iglesias (10 goals this season) returns from suspension. Alongside the legendary Iago Aspas and the clinical Ferran Jutglà, Celta possesses a frontline capable of exploiting Madrid’s current gaps.
  • Real Madrid’s Defensive Collapse: Madrid arrives in Galicia missing nearly their entire preferred backline. Due to a “triple suspension blow” from the Getafe match, Dean Huijsen and Álvaro Carreras are ruled out, joining long-term injury absentee Éder Militão. Without these pillars, Madrid’s clean sheet probability has plummeted.
  • Injury Crisis Fatigue: Beyond the defense, Madrid is without Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham, and Rodrygo (who recently suffered a season-ending ACL injury). This lack of offensive control means Madrid will likely struggle to keep possession, inviting sustained pressure from Celta.
  • Scoring Stats & Trends
Metric Celta Vigo (Home) Real Madrid (Away)
Avg. Goals Scored 1.80 1.60
Clean Sheet Rate 31% 28% (Recent dip)
BTTS – Yes Rate 62% 50%
  • Summary & Betting Outlook
  • The “Home Team to Score – YES” is a high-confidence selection for this fixture. Statistically, Celta has failed to score only 4 times in 39 matches across all competitions this season. Given Madrid’s depleted defense and Celta’s momentum (winning 4 of their last 5), the hosts are almost certain to find the net at Balaídos.
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