📅 Tuesday, 3rd March 2026

Copa Del Rey

Full Time Result
3:0
Lost
⚽
Barcelona
Best Bet
Yellow Card Over 3.5
@1.37
⚽
Atletico
Win Probability
Yellow Card Over 3.5 60%
60%
Probability of Yellow Card Over 3.5 Occurring
Last 5 Fixtures
⚽ Barcelona
Feb 28, 2026: Barcelona
4-1
Villarreal (La Liga)
Feb 22, 2026: Barcelona
3-0
Levante (La Liga)
Feb 16, 2026: Girona
2-1
Barcelona (La Liga)
Feb 12, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-0
Barcelona (Copa del Rey)
Feb 07, 2026: Barcelona
3-0
Mallorca (La Liga)
⚽ Atletico
Feb 28, 2026: Real Oviedo
0-1
Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
Feb 24, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-1
Club Bruges (Champions League)
Feb 21, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-2
Espanyol (La Liga)
Feb 18, 2026: Club Bruges
3-3
Atletico Madrid (Champions League)
Feb 15, 2026: Rayo Vallecano
3-0
Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
Home
W
W
L
L
W
Away
W
W
W
D
L
Current Form
Barcelona
60%Form
3W
0D
2L
Atletico
60%Form
3W
1D
1L
📊 Head To Head
Barcelona — 3 W 1 Draw 1 W — Atletico
60%
20%
20%
Feb 12, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-0
Barcelona (Copa del Rey)
Dec 02, 2025: Barcelona
3-1
Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
Apr 02, 2025: Atletico Madrid
0-1
Barcelona (La Liga)
Mar 16, 2025: Atletico Madrid
2-4
Barcelona (La Liga)
Feb 25, 2025: Barcelona
4-4
Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
📝 Analysis
  • The “Remontada” Narrative: Barca’s Quest for Revenge
  • Tonight at the Spotify Camp Nou, the air is thick with the spirit of the 2017 Remontada. After the humiliating 4–0 demolition by Atletico on February 12th, Hansi Flick’s Barcelona is out for blood. While progress to the final is a mountain to climb, the immediate goal is simple: total dominance and tactical revenge.
  • Barcelona enters this match in red-hot home form, coming off a 4–1 win over Villarreal where Lamine Yamal bagged a hat-trick. Expect a “volcanic” atmosphere that will force Atletico into their trademark defensive shell—a scenario that historically leads to high disciplinary counts.
  • Why “Over 3.5 Cards” is the Statistical Lock
  • When Barcelona chases a game of this magnitude, the match transforms into a tactical battle of “Professional Fouls.”
  • Atletico’s “Dark Arts”: Diego Simeone’s side are masters of slowing the game down when leading. Expect tactical time-wasting and strategic fouls to break Barca’s rhythm.
  • The High Press Risk: Barcelona will play an incredibly high line to sustain pressure. This leaves them vulnerable to counters from Julián Álvarez, often forcing Barca defenders into “orange card” challenges to stop goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Referee Pressure: In a second-leg knockout game at the Camp Nou, the crowd influence often forces the official to reach for the pocket early to maintain control.
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