📅 Tuesday, 10th March 2026

Champions League

Full Time Result
5:2
Won
Atletico Madrid
Best Bet
Over 2.5 Cards
@1.20
Tottenham
Win Probability
Over 2.5 Cards 75%
75%
Probability of Over 2.5 Cards Occurring
Last 5 Fixtures
⚽ Atletico Madrid
March 07, 2026: Atletico Madrid
3-2
Real Sociedad (La Liga)
March 03, 2026: Barcelona
3-0
Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
February 28, 2026: Real Oviedo
0-1
Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
February 24, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-1
Club Bruges (UEFA Champions League)
February 21, 2026: Atletico Madrid
4-2
Espanyol (La Liga)
⚽ Tottenham
March 05, 2026: Tottenham
1-3
Crystal Palace (Premier League)
March 01, 2026: Fulham
2-1
Tottenham (Premier League)
February 22, 2026: Tottenham
1-4
Arsenal (Premier League)
February 10, 2026: Tottenham
1-2
Newcastle United (Premier League)
February 07, 2026: Manchester United
2-0
Tottenham (Premier League)
Home
W
L
W
W
W
Away
L
L
L
L
L
Current Form
Atletico Madrid
80%Form
4W
0D
1L
Tottenham
0%Form
0W
0D
5L
📊 Head To Head
NIL
📝 Analysis

Disciplinary Trend Analysis: Over 2.5 Bookings

1. High-Friction Playstyle Tottenham currently leads the league in disciplinary actions, averaging 2.62 yellow cards per match. Their aggressive high-press system often leads to tactical fouls when play breaks down. In 4 of their last 5 matches, the total card count exceeded the 2.5 threshold comfortably.

2. Key “Target” Players The midfield pivot of Yves Bissouma and Pape Matar Sarr are the primary contributors to the booking count. Bissouma, in particular, has seen yellow in 3 of the last 4 matches, making him a central figure for those tracking player-specific booking markets. João Palhinha also remains a high-risk factor during defensive transitions.

3. Home vs. Away Volatility Discipline tends to slip even further at home. At the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Spurs average 1.13 cards in the first half alone, often resulting in matches that hit the “Over 2.5” mark before the 70th minute. Recent home games against Crystal Palace (5 total cards) and Newcastle (5 total cards) highlight this trend.

4. Defensive Frustration As Tottenham has struggled for results (losing 4 of their last 5), late-game frustration has become a consistent factor. In their 2–1 loss to Fulham and 2–0 loss to Manchester United, late bookings were issued for dissent or reckless challenges as the team chased the game, a key indicator for live booking trends.

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