📅 Thursday, 5th March 2026

Egypt Premier League

Full Time Result
1:3
Won
⚽
AL Mokawloon
Best Bet
Over 1.5
@1.43
⚽
Al Ahly
Win Probability
Over 1.5 80%
80%
Probability of Over 1.5 Occurring
Last 5 Fixtures
⚽ AL Mokawloon
February 23, 2026: El Gounah
1-1
Al Mokawloon Al Arab (Egyptian Premier League)
February 19, 2026: Al Mokawloon Al Arab
1-1
Al Masry (Egyptian Premier League)
February 05, 2026: Wadi Degla
0-1
Al Mokawloon Al Arab (Egyptian Cup)
January 30, 2026: Al Mokawloon Al Arab
0-1
National Bank (Egyptian Premier League)
January 22, 2026: Ismaily SC
1-2
Al Mokawloon Al Arab (Egyptian Premier League)
⚽ Al Ahly
February 28, 2026: Al Ahly
1-1
Masr (Egyptian Premier League)
February 23, 2026: Smouha SC
0-1
Al Ahly (Egyptian Premier League)
February 19, 2026: Al Ahly
1-0
El Gounah (Egyptian Premier League)
February 15, 2026: Al Ahly
0-0
FAR Rabat (CAF Champions League)
February 11, 2026: Al Ahly
2-0
Ismaily SC (Egyptian Premier League)
Home
D
D
W
L
W
Away
D
W
W
D
W
Current Form
AL Mokawloon
40%Form
2W
2D
1L
Al Ahly
60%Form
3W
2D
0L
📊 Head To Head
AL Mokawloon — 0 W 1 Draw 4 W — Al Ahly
20%
80%
August 04, 2024: Al Ahly
4-0
Al Mokawloon Al Arab (Egyptian Premier League)
November 04, 2023: Al Mokawloon Al Arab
1-2
Al Ahly (Egyptian Premier League)
July 16, 2023: Al Mokawloon Al Arab
1-4
Al Ahly (Egyptian Premier League)
March 07, 2023: Al Ahly
2-1
Al Mokawloon Al Arab (Egyptian Premier League)
July 30, 2022: Al Mokawloon Al Arab
0-0
Al Ahly (Egyptian Premier League)
📝 Analysis
    • Al Ahly’s Clinical Edge: While Al Ahly has been a defensive fortress (4 clean sheets in their last 5), they almost always find the net. They have scored in 90% of their home games this season, ensuring at least one half of the Over 1.5 requirement is met.
  • Al Mokawloon’s Gritty Scoring: Al Mokawloon has seen Over 1.5 Goals land in their last two consecutive matches (1–1 draws). They have a knack for snatching a goal on the counter-attack, which forces favorites like Al Ahly to push for a second.
  • H2H Dominance: Historical data is overwhelmingly in favor of goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two have cleared the Over 1.5 line, with scorelines like 4–0, 4–1, and 2–1 proving that Al Ahly often handles the scoring burden single-handedly.

 

  • 1. Main Pick: Over 1.5 Goals
  • Why: This is the ultimate “Banker” bet. Al Ahly’s depth in attack (with stars like Percy Tau and Wessam Abou Ali) makes it highly unlikely for them to be held scoreless at home. Even in their “quiet” games, a 2–0 or 1–1 result is the standard.
  • The Trend: Al Ahly averages 1.8 goals per match at home, while Al Mokawloon has conceded in 4 of their last 5 league outings.
  • Confidence: Extremely High (92% Probability).
  • 2. Tactical Angle: Over 1.5 Goals + Al Ahly Win
  • Why: To add premium value, combining the goal line with an Al Ahly victory is backed by their 4-game winning streak in head-to-head encounters. Al Ahly rarely wins 1–0 against Al Mokawloon; they usually pull away with a late second goal.
  • Final Verdict
  • The numbers dictate a high-probability Over 1.5 Goals outcome. Al Ahly’s drive to maintain their lead at the top of the table and Al Mokawloon’s recent 1–1 scoring trend create a perfect storm for at least two goals.
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